Sam The Model Man @TheModelManSam
Sports prediction modeling samthemodelman.smmodel.workers.dev Joined September 2026-
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Exciting stuff!! Wk 7 NCAAF & wk 6 NFL are live 🚨 Along with rolling out the first td projections for you guys for this week for a live test run, including data that I haven’t shown on twitter yet in there (mess around with it on the website). Additionally, NBA player props AND NFL player props are almost ready to be tested. I see your DMs wanting to test and I’m noting who’s dming and engaging with the tweets. It matters and is appreciated greatly. As always, check out the website check out the pictures below and give me feedback. I also have some exciting partnership news…
@RandomAnon97452 NBA no doubt
Good close to the week. Josh Allen and Keon Coleman take us to the promised land Models for NCAAF week 7 and NFL week 6 will be updated TODAY. Make sure to have notis on, I tweet right when the site is updated. NBA & CBB continue to creep up…
My projections for MNF! Along with first td probability, what pops out to me is maybe Keon Coleman ATD 👀 just brainstorming Let me know everyone’s thoughts!
Sneak peak… I’m going to need about 50 people who are willing to help me test this. Very excited to start rolling this stuff out. So much in the works, can’t wait. Will have follow ups soon for you guys
@TheModelManSam from your TD projections 🔥
Model has it very tight to Vegas today
@WarDogDemons I don’t want to block people I know people are emotional especially when money is involved. I know long term my data and projects are high quality and I don’t want to take that away from anyone who might want to use it. I get it though lol …
I understand people are upset when things don’t go amazing. I get that. I see all the DMs and hate and I get losing money is frustrating That being said, I promise you guys I have your best interests in mind and fight tooth and nail to bring in any edge possible. I don’t want to lose. I promise I HATE losing NFL week 5 right now is 5-7-1 (30-13-2 season) Is that good? No - and I get people are frustrated. At the same time that’s healthy regression after a huge week. Concerning would be 1-15, which we are far from. Multiple games didn’t cover within a few points. Next week those go our way and it’s now a winning week That being said I’ve spent the full day live scraping play by play data on the current games to tweak things where I can for next week. The rest of the night I’ll spend building out nba player prop model for everyone to use. It should be a super cool tool when done.
@CBRetweet @TrifectaNFL Very interesting strategy to promote under my post, then switch to your personal and respond to it …
And last thing to re-enforce. This was healthy regression. Be smart and always manage bankroll. If anyone has questions on money / bankroll management. You guys know my DMs are always open
And one more thing out of love - don’t parlay a bunch of even lines. It’s a losing game. I’m getting many DMs saying people parlayed 4/5 games and only hit 2/3. Personally, I’d avoid gambling that way.
Obviously was on giants +3.5, so I’ll take the win. But my gosh the second hand embarrassment watching that was brutal
Giants and Commanders to the CFL immediately
@WhizardData Chance of no td based on teams baked in
Parker Washington first td!! What a start This one was cool because Vegas had him as 2nd or 3rd best odds for first td, so the model actually had value on him. That was cool. Anyone brave enough to take that? Like I keep saying this is a test. Don’t expect every leg to hit
I’ve gotten a lot of this. The quick answer here is Vegas will always fuck you. Through all the data I’ve gone through it’s the same result. Your odds on first td bets will never be what the numbers say they should be. If anything I got from this - even though Tuten was the betting favorite, the model liked Washington more
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