Whizard @WhizardData
Sports Betting Originator 🧠 | +EV is cool, but bottom up is way cooler | Models all hand built | Open to work whizard.buildr.bet Joined November 2021-
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Matt Kalish with the rage bait of the century to be honest. He has gambling twitter in a mental pretzel.
Free play today? Also been slowly testing WNBA... 👀
Make that 21-8, +20.12u over 4 days. So Back. 🧠
W ✅👍
MLB Strikeout Play for Today: Ryan Weathers o5.5k (-120) {MGM}🧠 Model has Weathers a full K higher than the market. Weathers has been slowly improving as season as gone on, and has a nice matchup in Detroit today. Model has it at 61% over and fair up to around -135. Play it
MLB Strikeout Play for Today: Ryan Weathers o5.5k (-120) {MGM}🧠 Model has Weathers a full K higher than the market. Weathers has been slowly improving as season as gone on, and has a nice matchup in Detroit today. Model has it at 61% over and fair up to around -135. Play it before it moves.
Another one, 15-5, +15.51u last 3 days. Needed it. 🧠
Maybe MLB strikeouts are finally back.... ? Badly needed the 11-4, +10.86u the last 2 days. 🧠
@edward_yu_var @mattkalish Matt is retard maxxing purposely. Has to be. No chance the former founder of DK doesn't understand simple math.
@nickkkerrsays 👀👀 Do not know If I will release props to the public, but since its a player based model, the team markets are not calibrated the best, a little overconfident.... BUT have had some great results so far in backtest / live test.
Maybe MLB strikeouts are finally back.... ? Badly needed the 11-4, +10.86u the last 2 days. 🧠
@nickkkerrsays I'm not joking, 159-159, 0.1% ROI. Just got out of what was a 45u drawdown over 22 days.
@matt_gannon_ Would be solo 3rd with a par instead of the 11....
Love Mike Tirico.... hes pretty awful calling golf....
Betting Qatar ML on a off market Pinnacle is exactly how you become profitable long term! If you're gonna bet on sports, please at least understand the market mechanics and which books are known for what.
🚨 I just built a World Cup odds outlier detector with zero code in under 2 minutes. Claude + the @OpticOdds API scanned every book, found where the lines disagree, and built me a working dashboard right on my computer.
@robpizzola this is the easiest round Shinnecock has ever held in a us open.
@nickkkerrsays Finished the year 242-191, 7.2% ROI. Always really good in bowl season.
6ks on 40 strikes…. Just couldn’t hit water off a boat rn ❌
MLB K Prop bet for today: Brandon Sproat u4.5k (+105){MGM}🧠 Back on the free plays, have had a rough stretch here on the model. Has Sproat 0.2 below his line at 4.3, fair price on the under closer to -140. Playable up to -117.
@nickkkerrsays Yessir, CFB and CBB are really my wheelhouse the last few years.
@usmcIndia I think it matters a little in the long run, but not nearly as much as mainlines when you try to get in early. Not efficient enough.... But across about 1400 graded bets this year market move with us win % is 53% and against is 47% so it does add up.
MLB K Prop bet for today: Brandon Sproat u4.5k (+105){MGM}🧠 Back on the free plays, have had a rough stretch here on the model. Has Sproat 0.2 below his line at 4.3, fair price on the under closer to -140. Playable up to -117.
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