Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

PhD student @LSEEcon. Formerly @gov_analysis @ONS. In games, la perfide Albion. @[email protected]. Adam Tooze reply guy. alexandernewton.page London Joined August 2020

Tweets

242
Followers

251
Following

1K
Likes

706

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 months ago

@jmwooldridge @FranNunesEcon @instrumenthull @JesusFerna7026 @lugaricano @metrics52 @Almost_Sure @probnstat @captgouda24 @goescarlos but it's also true that there may be causal relationship without there being any sort of probabilistic dependence - so the general point is not just about linear dependence.

1 0 1 103 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

3 months ago

Rights bounded utilitarianism you say? itzhakgilboa.weebly.com/uploads/8/3/6/…

0 0 0 24 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

3 months ago

Obviously rokos basilisk isnt an equilibrium with a rational AI... But with a spiteful one it's more believable

0 0 0 47 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

4 months ago

0 0 1 23 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

4 months ago

this corresponds to the expectation of the elasticities. PPML in this case does not go to the arithmetic mean (as the arithmetic mean is a function of x).

0 0 0 14 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

7 months ago

@guoxu_econ great stuff from Eric :)

0 0 0 89 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

7 months ago

@BBCNews needs some actual statisticians on its team maybe? Mental health problems can be both over-diagnosed and under-diagnosed so where is the option for this?

0 0 0 12 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@NathanpmYoung Maybe Obsidian + AI assistant plugin?

0 0 0 63 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@NathanpmYoung The stakes could be very high indeed

0 0 1 100 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@ShakeelHashim I also have quite a big bet riding (hah) on them being in London by 2026 so would be great if Sadiq could listen maybe a little

0 0 3 130 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@lastpositivist @lastpositivist do you know the answer to this?

0 0 0 25 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@lastpositivist Separate question: what's the position called where probability statements represent how often the stater expects their universe of probability statements at the same probability to come true?

1 0 1 110 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@jessRmorley Did you see Acemoglu's paper on the macroeconomics of AI? It's a conservative estimate but gives quite low macroeconomic boosts to GDP from generative AI

0 0 3 228 0

View Details

Alexander Newton @goodpracticeal

2 years ago

@benhayesnyc @Noahpinion Is it because there are so few nuclear power plants - only 430 worldwide - while there are huge numbers of solar and wind installations? It makes the nuclear line look much lumpier. The largest nuclear reactors in the world each produce like 1% of all nuclear power generation.