Austin Mudd @muddsicle
CRE broker today, prev. REPE, lending | real estate, investing, tech, personal growth | here for life's shenanigans | occasional memes -- free CRE resources 👇 tinyurl.com/CREResourcesMu… Los Angeles, CA Joined December 2009-
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@modestproposal1 From minute 1 they look liked they were there to battle toe-to-toe. amazing heart
Point of the post is that there’s a lot of other 1031 buyers and tourist investors that stepped into deals at even higher pricing that groups like S2. So the magnitude of over levered deals out there is greater than generally recognized.
I received an offer from S2 on a deal the firm I worked at owned and it was probably about 30% below where the deal sold in peak 2021 mania. There’s way more multifamily zombies out there
Using Claude Fable as an orchestrator model to control @herdrdev tabs and panes using pi with gpt 5.5 is an awesome workflow. it's a fully observable subagent workflow that you can control/steer easily
@mitchellh try setting up a herdr orchestrator workflow where fable is in one pane and opens/controls/closes other panes with worker/scout agents using other cheaper models. seems to be a nice pattern
@J264B We’re in a mega rise of crony capitalism and it sucks man. Too many people don’t care as long as their stonks go up
@connorclift35 @jasonjosephlee @JMGregorchuk Haha “distressed” RSO is a 7 cap in place in a C/B- market. Not sure many will find that super compelling. I don’t know how to square that wealth inequality is hardening housing politics . It’s a real risk. But not all much distress out there in multi
@robbiehendricks Man, I’d love to pitch some absolutely prime prime prime Class A+ sites to them. Because market is so thin, it’s a rare moment in the cycle to pick up these sites with no competition
@mnolangray all "rented within 5 year" exclusions can be waived by some sort of contribution of 33% of 60 months x unit AMI rent into a housing displacement fund. Fund only disburses to former 120% AMI tenants with verified documentation of prior tenancy and acts as a voucher TT can use
@mnolangray Is there something legally that prevents multiple concurrent applications of entitlements? So many development deals are dead because the market changes on the project when a smaller/large/different program project could be more or less more appropriate/financeable
@kleib323 @realEstateTrent But everywhere in America is "sprawling suburbia" except NYC and SF (not been to Miami but I imagine its another one to add). When people think of San Diego, people think West of the 15, which is indeed pretty special relative to other regions of the US. All things considered
@seandsweeney @J264B @davegordon14 My tweet long assessment is that we live in an increasingly crony capitalist society. Where being in the middle and lower end are being bled out (or feel like it, whether it’s accurate or not). You have the homeless industry complex & Trump making billions off crypto on both end
AI has delivered 0 productivity on things that are heavily regulated, housing, education, healthcare. mega tech corps would be smart to invest more of their almost infinite capital in tougher industries outside their scope ( eg Paypal affordable fund) to slow public ai hesitation
WSJ is calling the AI build-out the third wave of inflation, after tariffs and fuel. The five hyperscalers will spend about $741B this year, +~75% from 2025. Chip demand is already showing up in consumer prices --> Nintendo, Sony, Microsoft and Apple have all raised hardware
@toxoplasmodium @ArmandDoma Just a broader related point touching on the topic that ULA was added for “moar affordable housing” but 1) killed 10s of thousands of future housing units 2) to fund a relatively small amount of units at 2-3x the cost 3) will result in worse affordable housing dynamics citywide
@toxoplasmodium @ArmandDoma You do know like there’s 30,000 ed1 units financial dead in the water right
So ULA remains? LA multifamily development is absolutely cooked, not freaking joking.
UPDATE: We have a deal again! New compromise advances constitutional amendment to restore 2/3 threshold for local taxes — the so-called “Upland loophole — but not retroactively, meaning billions in taxes already passed stay subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2026/0…
Currently doing iCloud contact enrichment by asking codex to - pull a batch of contacts without photos - use signed in browser extract headshots or web search for them - update contact with their company, title, and headshots So much better to put a name with a face
@AdamHKlein Good stuff. It was in jest lol. Was it a mtm lease in place, new lease signed with cash out lender kind of situation?
@JMGregorchuk @dtmorgan18 It would be a net increase of about 1% ultimately in LA. As opposed to an increase of 3.5-5% in LA with ULA. So it is a big concession.
Moses Kagan @moseskagan
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K @k___sadler
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Yeeprsr @Yeeprs1
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Bang Liu 老子天下... @LB666666888666
94 Followers 5K Following 自我实现自我预言创造悟道参禅静灵活至极周全艺术婉若游龙惊若翩鸿龙蛇之变木雁之间灵得很积极正能量正面绞尽脑汁削尖脑袋挖空心思挤破头皮一杆子打不尽水带逗你玩儿 人生难得是喝茶的心情 fight fight fight !!!穷则变变则通通则久进行到底!!一定要建设到底!!!战天斗地彻底碾压!!取得全面胜利打到无条件投降百温
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