patrickcl @patrickcl15
Joined April 2020-
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The 2026 Buy-Side Outlook. I’ve compiled 10 outlook letters, from global macro giants to concentrated value shops, highlighting the shifts in institutional positioning for 2026. Enjoy👇 1) @Ninepoint: ninepoint.com/media/yjcgw5dt… 2) Octahedron Capital (different from others, but it's a gem): drive.google.com/file/d/1T0jplB… 3) Hoisington Investment: hoisington.com/pdf/HIM2025Q4N… 4) Hozirzon Investments (fantastic deck with macro data): drive.google.com/file/d/1uXtb_1… 5) LGIM Global: drive.google.com/file/d/1a1mTz4… 6) Currency Asset Management (FX outlook): drive.google.com/file/d/1a1mTz4… 7) Blackstone: drive.google.com/file/d/1sT7Mo2… 8) Bridgewater: drive.google.com/file/d/1AaOGRz… 9) Lansing Street: drive.google.com/file/d/14GvhLR… 10) Absolute Return Partners: drive.google.com/file/d/1X9MrPD…
2025 investor-letter pitches I shared have already delivered major wins. But some of the strongest setups from this year are still hiding in plain sight, with real multibagger potential. Here are my 10 highest-conviction ideas that remain fully actionable👇
@toy59496 Hi, I’m new to this situation and want to understand the financial implications for $MYX.AX post SID termination. What is next? The stock looks very attractive at current levels based on a normalized view of financials but what is likely to happen next? Thank you!
Did you know that Ben Graham wrote an autobiography titled “Things I Remember” but unfortunately he died before he could publish it. This article contains the manuscripts of the book released by his family.
Li Lu’s recommend book list .
Valuing Equities in an Economic Crisis A great piece
@InvestSpecial $TH (provides modular housing/lodging facilities), is currently negotiating a 10 year contract extension with the US gov’t for one of their facilities in the Southern border. Stock is trading at <6x normalized EBITDA ($250m)+ mgmt expects to achieve a net cash position this year
@RssRyan @InvestSpecial That’s also assuming they successfully get a $19m earn-out from OSP’s sale, which is an internally developed POS they divested in 2022
@RssRyan @InvestSpecial Yes. However they have a ~$175m term loan maturing in August 2025. Based on my projections for 2023, that would translate into a Net Debt/EBITDA ratio of ~9x. In 2025, I believe RGS can easily generate >$25m of EBITDA and as such it would refinance at 5.6x Net Debt/EBITDA
@InvestSpecial Very interesting write-up. What is your opinion on it?
George Soros needs no introduction. He broke the Bank of England. He generated a 32% CAGR for 30+ years. He taught Stanley Druckenmiller the trading ropes. $1,000 invested w/ Soros would have been worth $4M+ by 2000. Here are five trading lessons from The Palindrome ... 🧵
The telephone, the internet, and crypto share one thing in common. Each technology improves on the next in terms of its ability to facilitate fraud. As such, I was initially a crypto skeptic, but after studying some of the more interesting crypto projects, I have come to
Most people suck at buying businesses. Here's an easy framework I've used in 100+ deals (that actually works):
EVALUATING MANAGEMENT We hear this all the time in the stock market. A company has "great CEO" or an "awful management team". These are vague terms that, more often than not, are highly correlated with the recent performance of a stock. John Foley of PTON was hailed as a
1/ Buybacks are an acquisition, not a dividend. A thread🧵⬇️
Warren Buffet says reading chapter 12 of Keynes "The General Theory" allows the investor to : Not "read anything else and you can turn off your tv." Here are my takeaways from chapter 12 of General Theory 🧵
In investing, if you stay rational, the stupidity of the world will help you. -- Charlie Munger
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Terton Capital @terton_capital
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Anthony @HalvioCapital
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845 Followers 588 Following Aims to look under the hood on all “quality” net-nets. In search for coiled springs in decile one. Opinions expressed not recommendations or advice.
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HFI Research @HFI_Research
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Giovanni Staunovo🛢 @staunovo
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Tourlite @_Tourlite
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MDC @ClarkinM
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Generals & Workouts @gw_investing
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Tenva Capital @TenvaCapital
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