Paul Diggle @pauldiggle
Economist in asset management. Co-host of the Macro Bytes podcast https://t.co/m9A7BN7iNo pauldiggle.com Edinburgh Joined July 2009-
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Our Chief Economist, @pauldiggle, delves into the potential impacts of AI on jobs and productivity in our sector. Where do you think AI will take us? #abrdngather
Thanks Paul and Sree for the chance to talk about my book w/@stianwestlake Restarting the Future
The #intangible economy is fundamentally different & requires different policies to tackle low productivity, inequality, & lack of competition. Latest #MacroBytes podcast with @haskelecon, co-author with @stianwestlake, of Restarting the Future open.spotify.com/episode/04hgGA…
The #intangible economy is fundamentally different & requires different policies to tackle low productivity, inequality, & lack of competition. Latest #MacroBytes podcast with @haskelecon, co-author with @stianwestlake, of Restarting the Future open.spotify.com/episode/04hgGA…
Monetary & fiscal policy in the coming recession. Is it back to the lower bound and QE once recession hits? And how supportive can fiscal policy be, amid split Congress in US and supply shocks in Europe? Latest #MacroBytes podcast -> open.spotify.com/episode/1gTsrN…
Risks and opportunities in Xi’s third term - real estate slowdown, more regulation risks, maintaining zero Covid, but some insulation from the coming global recession. Must listen episode of #MacroBytes -> open.spotify.com/episode/2w8WCq…
Latest #MacroBytes with @neilthomas123 of @EurasiaGroup is out. President Xi's consolidation of power presents further regulatory risks to investors. Listen here: open.spotify.com/episode/2w8WCq…
Great #MacroBytes podcast episode, covering US macro and market developments over the past several months. Takeaway: recession is likely coming sooner
On the latest #MacroBytes we discuss why the Fed is raising interest rates so quickly and what this means for the US and global economy open.spotify.com/episode/553Yps…
Is Europe in crisis? On the latest #MacroBytes podcast, we discuss what energy rationing would mean; whether the data deterioration means recession is inevitable; the collapse of the Italian govt; and the impact of higher rates. open.spotify.com/episode/12GKVO… With @LukeBartholom13
On the latest #macrobytes, @pauldiggle and I discuss the many challenges facing Europe. From energy shortages and recession to monetary tightening and political uncertainty, Europe is in crisis. open.spotify.com/episode/12GKVO…
One possibility was a quid pro quo on the Governing Council - a bigger hike for an unlimited TPI. But we need to see what conditionality requirements are.
Another 3 letter abbreviation from the ECB: Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI). Unlimited & to be rolled out in "unwanted disorderly market dynamics". But impt to ask Lagarde what counts as such - for example, is Italy widening around political crisis included?
ECB: 50bps it is. Becomes the latest central bank to signal a smaller move & deliver a bigger one. More 50bps hikes likely in store
When will China drop zero-Covid? Latest #MacroBytes episode features Adam Wolfe of @asr_london, talking all things Chinese economy, monetary & fiscal policy, Covid strategy, 20th Congress, and Xi's agenda during a 3rd term. open.spotify.com/episode/4kdkT1…
Part 2 of our #MacroBytes episode with @HelenHet20 is out, this time on the politics of monetary policy. open.spotify.com/episode/3IKvKy… With @LukeBartholom13, we discuss the end of New Normal, Fed hegemony, future of central banks, and likelihood of a recession.
New #MacroBytes podcast out, featuring @HelenHet20 on the politics of energy markets. We discuss Russia-Ukraine, geopolitical tensions of the green transition, & politics of sacrifice. Part 2 on monetary policy coming next week. @LukeBartholom13 open.spotify.com/episode/7AnEQw…
“The next recession” - why we think this rate hiking cycle ends in recession, on the latest #MacroBytes podcast with @LukeBartholom13 open.spotify.com/episode/6VpwfF…
How will the #energytransition affect investing in Asia? Latest #MacroBytes podcast is out, with Jeremy Lawson and Anna Moss sharing their research into opportunities & challenges for APAC in alternative climate scenarios. open.spotify.com/episode/38bzkx…
Great episode of the Macro Bytes podcast with @DuncanWeldon, discussing his book on UK economic history. I particularly liked the discussion about car washes going from fully automated 10-20 years ago, to labour-intensive today.
Macro Bytes: Lessons from UK economic history – with Duncan Weldon. We examine Britain's political economy over the last 200 years. ow.ly/GKGt50GrsFr
at least I know what the subject line of every sell-side research note is going to be
We spoke to @DavidBeckworth about 'new frontiers in central banking' on the latest #MacroMatters podcast. David shared his thoughts on framework reviews; AIT vs nominal GDP targeting; climate targeting; and central bank digital currencies. A full episode! open.spotify.com/episode/5U4o1j…
Climate change and central banks: The case for violating neutrality | VOX, CEPR Policy Portal voxeu.org/article/climat… We argue that neutrality based objections to CB involvement in climate policy are obviated 1 because neutrality is impossible & 2 because of what is at stake
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